CivMetrics collects economic and labor data for the largest MSAs in the United States. In this installment we go national, and collect the latest unemployment rate forecasts from top firms around the United States. What do major firms and agencies expect unemployment to look like at the end of 2021? For questions about our data, or to request data, please contact

We’ve rounded up end-of-year unemployment estimates from major banks, ratings agencies and federal institutions. What will the unemployment rate be at the end of 2021 and beyond?

NOTE: We compare each firm’s previous forecast with their most recent forecast.

UPDATED 9/29/21 at 10:01 AM CST